I'm not American and no expert on US politics, but, it seems to me from afar that the election was driven by competing forces at work.
On the one hand, voters are getting hammered by inflation and soaring costs which they partly blame, rightly, on Biden. Crime is also soaring, particularly in blue-state cities and voters wanted to punish the ruling Democrats for their failure to deal with crime (ergo see the NYC results).
Plus, the blue state governors were very keen on vaccine mandates, mask rules and the closure of schools. Now, it is questionable just how angry the average vaccinated person is with mandates (most seemed ok at the time) but what is certain is most voters dislike mask mandates and parents the closure of schools/after school clubs/activities during the pandemic. So there was a bit of a backlash there.
On the flip side, the GOP are seen as trying to ban abortion which goes against the majority of Americans and is a big issue for younger females. Plus, the Trump supported MAGA candidates are a bit off and seem obsessed about the alleged 2020 steal that most voters find off-putting and frankly boring.
Throw in the fact that most Americans don't want Trump to run again, and you got some cross-currents at work there that helped the Dems and hit the GOP.
To me, the results seemed fairly balanced. The GOP re-gain the House which means an end of the Biden legislative agenda, accountability on the Administration whilst not the sweeping Red Wave that might have led to severe restrictions on abortion that many voters feared.
It also hits the Trump reputation and paves the way for more competent, younger and smarter candidates like Ron DeSantis to run in 2024 and beat the Democrats.
My position on the 2020 election was the Democratic decision to introduce mass mail-on voting helped pave the way for substantial voter fraud that they effectively outsourced.
Republican friendly polling does suggest that, maybe, Arizona and Georgia should have gone GOP (although those elections were always going to be tight) but there is no evidence that the Rust Belt states were ever voting for Trump. Even the very pro-GOP polling I was tracking did not show ONE poll that had Trump ahead of Biden in the Rust Belt states.
So my conclusion is, yes, there was fraud, the election result was probably closer than the official one, but Biden did win, albeit more narrowly (factoring in likely fraud).
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timeasmymeasure
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Date: 2022-11-19 09:12 am (UTC)I'm not American and no expert on US politics, but, it seems to me from afar that the election was driven by competing forces at work.
On the one hand, voters are getting hammered by inflation and soaring costs which they partly blame, rightly, on Biden. Crime is also soaring, particularly in blue-state cities and voters wanted to punish the ruling Democrats for their failure to deal with crime (ergo see the NYC results).
Plus, the blue state governors were very keen on vaccine mandates, mask rules and the closure of schools. Now, it is questionable just how angry the average vaccinated person is with mandates (most seemed ok at the time) but what is certain is most voters dislike mask mandates and parents the closure of schools/after school clubs/activities during the pandemic. So there was a bit of a backlash there.
On the flip side, the GOP are seen as trying to ban abortion which goes against the majority of Americans and is a big issue for younger females. Plus, the Trump supported MAGA candidates are a bit off and seem obsessed about the alleged 2020 steal that most voters find off-putting and frankly boring.
Throw in the fact that most Americans don't want Trump to run again, and you got some cross-currents at work there that helped the Dems and hit the GOP.
To me, the results seemed fairly balanced. The GOP re-gain the House which means an end of the Biden legislative agenda, accountability on the Administration whilst not the sweeping Red Wave that might have led to severe restrictions on abortion that many voters feared.
It also hits the Trump reputation and paves the way for more competent, younger and smarter candidates like Ron DeSantis to run in 2024 and beat the Democrats.
My position on the 2020 election was the Democratic decision to introduce mass mail-on voting helped pave the way for substantial voter fraud that they effectively outsourced.
Republican friendly polling does suggest that, maybe, Arizona and Georgia should have gone GOP (although those elections were always going to be tight) but there is no evidence that the Rust Belt states were ever voting for Trump. Even the very pro-GOP polling I was tracking did not show ONE poll that had Trump ahead of Biden in the Rust Belt states.
So my conclusion is, yes, there was fraud, the election result was probably closer than the official one, but Biden did win, albeit more narrowly (factoring in likely fraud).